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Title: | التنبؤ بأسعار الصرف في الجزائر للفترة 2014-2018 |
Other Titles: | دراسة تحلیلیة قیاسیة |
Authors: | خديجة ، خليدة, بومزير ، زاوي |
Keywords: | الجزائر ، سعر الصرف ، منهجية بوكس ، جينكنز Algeria, exchange rate, Box-Jenkins methodology |
Issue Date: | Jun-2020 |
Publisher: | Abdelhafid boussouf university Centre mila |
Citation: | تخصص " إقتصاد نقدي وبنكي " |
Description: | This note addresses the problem of how to predict the exchange rate, which is considered a central element in international finance and the economy as a whole, by addressing the exchange and its types, as well as the various elements of the exchange rate (formulas, systems and theories). This study aims to predict the change rates of the national currency against US dollar, because of its importance in reviving the national economy and the extent of its relationship and correlation with international macro variables, and this is reflected in the orresponding foreign exchange rates. For this, we used the Box-Jenkins methodology to predict by time series the exchange rates of the Algerian dinar against the US dollar from January 2014 to April 2018 to find the level of exchange rates using Eviews 10. The study concluded in its results that the prediction of the exchange rates of the Algerian dinar against the US dollar from May 2018 to December 2018 recorded acceptable levels ompared to previous values |
URI: | http://dspace.centre-univ-mila.dz/jspui/handle/123456789/982 |
Appears in Collections: | Business and management economics |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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التنبؤ بأسعار الصرف في الجزائر للفترة 2014-2018 (1).pdf | 1,88 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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